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Teacher turnover intention in an expatriate-dominated system: testing the four-capital framework in Qatar using PLS-SEM

Not yet classifiedby Mashael Al-Dosari, Abdellatif Sellami, Malavika E. SanthoshOctober 23, 2026 44 min read
teacher retention turnover intention psychological capital structural capital expatriate workforce gulf region pls-sem four-capital framework organisational conditions workforce stability

Editorial summary. This is our text summary of an article published by frontiers-orgpsych. Charts, figures, and the author’s full voice are at the original — read it there .

Licence. The original is licensed under CC BY 4.0. This page adapts it: the summary and analysis are ours, not the authors’.

Editorial verdict

Methodologically sound quantitative study with important caveats: cross-sectional design prevents causal inference, convenience sampling limits generalisability, and the composite turnover intention scale conflates organisational and professional exit — findings on structural capital and psychological capital as retention levers are credible, but treat causal language in the discussion with caution.

Executive summary

This study examines teacher turnover intention (TI) in Qatar's expatriate-dominated public and private school system, where over 90% of teachers are non-Qatari nationals on fixed-term contracts. The authors apply the Four-Capital Framework — integrating human capital (HC), social capital (SC), structural capital (StC), and psychological capital (PC) — to investigate how these forms of capital jointly predict TI, with PC hypothesised as a mediating mechanism. Data were collected via weighted cross-sectional survey from 1,010 teachers and analysed using partial least squares structural equation modelling (PLS-SEM). Results indicate that StC exerted the strongest total effect on TI (β = −0.525), operating through both direct and indirect pathways via PC. PC was negatively associated with TI (β = −0.362) and functioned as a statistical intermediary for SC and StC effects. HC demonstrated a counterintuitive positive direct effect on TI (β = 0.217), reflecting greater career mobility among highly skilled expatriate teachers, partially offset by a negative indirect effect through PC. The model explained 61.1% of variance in PC and 28.5% in TI. The authors conclude that retention policy in expatriate-dominated systems should prioritise organisational conditions and psychological support, while acknowledging that cross-sectional associations cannot establish causal direction.

researchRelevance: 7/10Middle East

Key insights

  • 1Structural capital — encompassing administrative support, instructional resources, workload management, and school leadership quality — was the strongest predictor of lower turnover intention in Qatar's teacher workforce, with a total effect of β = −0.525.
  • 2Psychological capital (self-efficacy, optimism, hope, resilience) functioned as a statistical intermediary linking organisational and relational resources to turnover intention, explaining 61.1% of variance in PC and accounting for the indirect effects of all three capital types on TI.
  • 3Human capital demonstrated a paradoxical pattern: a positive direct effect on TI (β = 0.217) consistent with greater career mobility in the GCC regional labour market, partially offset by a negative indirect effect through PC (β = −0.096), yielding a modest net positive total effect.
  • 4Social capital's association with turnover intention operated entirely through psychological capital — its direct path to TI was non-significant (β = 0.007) — suggesting collegial relationships influence retention via psychological mechanisms rather than direct relational ties.
  • 5Qatar's unique expatriate-dominated context, where teachers on fixed-term contracts perceive positions as temporary, reshapes the dynamics of each capital type relative to findings from Western or non-expatriate-majority systems.

Practical takeaways

  • Organisations in high-mobility, expatriate-dominated education systems may find that investment in organisational conditions (leadership quality, resource adequacy, workload management) produces stronger retention associations than investment in teacher skill development alone, given that higher human capital appears linked to increased exit risk in competitive regional labour markets.
  • Interventions targeting teachers' psychological capital — through resilience-focused professional development, mentoring, supportive supervision, and recognition practices — may amplify the retention effects of structural and social capital improvements, as PC appears to mediate the pathway between workplace resources and turnover intention.

Frameworks mentioned

Four-Capital Framework

An integrative framework conceptualising teacher turnover intention as the outcome of interactions among human capital, social capital, structural capital, and psychological capital, with psychological capital as a mediating mechanism.

Conservation of Resources Theory

Hobfoll's (1989) theory positing that tangible and relational resources primarily function by building psychological states that in turn shape behavioural responses; used here to ground the mediating role of psychological capital.

Job Demands-Resources (JD-R) Model

Bakker and Demerouti's (2017) model distinguishing distal job resources from proximal personal psychological resources, cited to support the positioning of psychological capital as a proximal predictor relative to structural and social capital.

Psychological Capital Theory

Luthans et al.'s (2007) framework defining psychological capital as a positive psychological state comprising self-efficacy, optimism, hope, and resilience, framed here as the internal mechanism through which organisational and relational conditions translate into behavioural intentions.

References

  1. International Journal of STEM Education (2025).Using human, social, structural, and positive psychological capital to explore science and mathematics teacher retention.
  2. International Education Studies (2023).The four-capital theory as framework for teacher retention and attrition.
  3. Personnel Psychology (2007).Positive psychological capital: measurement and relationship with performance and satisfaction.
  4. American Psychologist (1989).Conservation of resources: a new attempt at conceptualizing stress.
  5. Journal of Occupational Health Psychology (2017).Job demands–resources theory: taking stock and looking forward.
  6. European Business Review (2019).When to use and how to report the results of PLS-SEM.
  7. European Journal of Special Needs Education (2023).Psychological capital as a mediator of job satisfaction and burnout among teachers in special and standard education.
  8. Proceedings of the International Conference on Multidisciplinary Research (2024).Teacher retention in South Africa's marginalised schools: interplay of psychological capital, work engagement and job satisfaction.
  9. Teaching and Teacher Education (2025).Professional learning communities and teacher outcomes: a cross-national analysis.
  10. Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis (2026).Teacher turnover, social capital, and improvement: how instability disrupts schools.
  11. Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis (2025).Comparing teacher turnover intentions to actual turnover: cautions and lessons for the field.
  12. Educational Psychology Review (2024).Factors associated with teacher wellbeing: a meta-analysis.
  13. International Monetary Fund Staff Country Reports (2024).Qatar: Selected Issues.
  14. Education Sciences (2026).Teacher talent retention in Qatar: predicting turnover intentions through the four-capital framework.
  15. Journal of Business and Psychology (2019).Do not cross me: optimizing the use of cross-sectional designs.
  16. Educational Research Review (2021).The role of social capital for teacher professional learning and student achievement: a systematic literature review.
  17. Teacher Development (2026).Voices from the field: a qualitative inquiry into the cultural and systemic reasons behind teacher turnover in Kuwait's public schools.
  18. Leadership and Policy in Schools (2023).Principal support and teacher turnover intention in Kuwait: implications for policymakers.

Source & Provenance

Verified
Publisher / Source

frontiers-orgpsych

Author

Mashael Al-Dosari, Abdellatif Sellami, Malavika E. Santhosh

Publication Date

October 23, 2026

Article Type

Research Study

Geography

Middle East

Content Type
Unknown Source Type
Original Source

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